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Wednesday, January 25, 2012
South Florida’s public payrolls had a better recession than the private sector did, though the pressure is on as government budgets get squeezed.
Miami-Dade seems likely to avoid a big chunk of lay-offs this year, extending the county’s rebound in tax-funded employment.
South Florida’s public sector has enjoyed a much better recession than the private sector, losing fewer jobs during the downturn.
The charts above track changes since January 2005 in private employment and local-government payrolls, which include public schools. We used a 12-month rolling average to compensate for seasonal hiring at schools and other government employers.
Though far below past peaks in hiring, Broward now has more local government employees than it had in 2005, and in fact never got below 2005 levels throughout the recession. Miami-Dade took a bigger hit in the recession, but now local government payrolls are making up ground faster than private payrolls are.
Federal stimulus dollars helped cushion the blow for police and school hiring, as did a delay in sharp drops in property-tax revenue as assessments caught up with a collapse in values. Both insulators are basically over now, putting more pressure on elected leaders to cut costs and shed payroll.
Short-term, the numbers show only a little bit of strain. Broward’s local government employed 86,000 people in December, basically flat from a year ago but slightly worse than the .7 percent growth in the private sector.
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